Tuesday, December 11, 2007

Making the Switch, Part V: Checking to Be Sure

I've had the best success of my (short) career so far playing low-stakes no-limit. But I wasn't completely sure no-limit was my game. To make sure, I got out Ed Miller's "Small Stakes Hold 'Em." I brushed up on the limit skills, learned a few new ideas, and hit the .25/.50 tables. I played full-ring, 6-max and shorthanded.

I got killed. I lost over 120 big bets in just over a day. That's not just variance - that's a long-term losing streak. Some of it was bad play and tilt. Some of it was the sick, insane beats we all associate with limit poker. Here's my favorite:




I hold AA. I raise in early position, and get re-raised (!) by one of the blinds. I cap and the flop is:

4♠ 3♣ 3♥

I consider that a great flop to aces. If he has an overpair, he's trapped with almost no outs. I don't see him re-raising with 44 or 33. I check-raise and he 3-bets me! Perfect.

The turn is:

K ♣

There's a small chance he has KK and hit a set, but I can't really slow down now. We go at it again on this street.

River:

K♦

Are you kidding me? He turns over AK and rakes the pot. According to Ed Miller's Equity Calculator, I was an 82:1 favorite on the flop. And yet I got called on every street and lost. His only outs were running kings, and he stayed in to hit them.




Of course, beats happen in NL. But you'd have to think hard about calling a big bet with AK on a 443 board. There was no thinking here, and that's why it's frustrating.

It seems I'm just a better player at NL. I can win long-term at low-stakes NL, and I can't at limit.

This is good news, since I started in limit cash games and it took a long time to grind up a bankroll (not sure how I did it, actually). It turns out I'm just not that good at limit. I've won more than 1000 big blinds playing NL in the past month, and I clearly can't match that at the limit tables.

I'm glad I checked. You have to know your game, and some people are savants at one or the other (limit or big-bet). I'm no savant, but I'm pretty sure NL is where my edge is.

0 comments: